Monday, June 5, 2017

Fool, If You Think It's Over

The Rockies have played 59 Games So far, and have not lost a game where they were leading after 7 innings (34-0).   They also have only won 1 game where they were trailing after 7 (1-21).  In the three games that they were tied after 7 they are 1-2.

In other words there have been only 4 games that were decided in the 8th inning or later and 3 of those games have gone extra innings.  If you turn the game off after 7 and one team is ahead, it's pretty certain that the result will be the same as when  you stopped watching.  In fact, the Rockies are 9-6 in come from behind wins, so if there is a lead of any kind at any time, it's a 3 in 4 chance that the team ahead will win. The Rockies still are looking for their first walk off win of 2017.

Meanwhile the Dodgers have 16 comeback wins and the D-Backs have 19.   The Dodgers are 3-2 in Walkoffs and the D-Backs are 3-1.

This does not mean this will continue, it's really a glass half full or half empty kind of thing.  The Rockies have chalked up 36 wins so far, which is the best in their history.   How they do it doesn't matter, but there will come a time when they pull out games in the last at bat or even lose some late.

The NL West race is one of the tightest in Baseball, with the NL Central also having three teams within 2 games of each other for the lead, but those teams are hovering around .500 while the NL West teams are hovering around .600.   The Rockies have a chance to put some separation (hopefully positive) between the teams when they play 16 in a row against the west later this month including 3 against the Dodgers and 6 against the D-Backs.  Otherwise the Dodgers spend the entire month of June and July, playing the other divisions, including their first taste of interleague play, except for 6 games June 30-July 6th against San Diego and Arizona, and a 3 game series vs. the Giants to end July.   The D-Backs will play San Diego this week and the Dodgers Series in early July.

As Bud Black says, the Rockies can't worry about what the other teams are doing, all they can do is take care of their own business.   Currently the Rockies by far have a great record against the West at 19-11, while the D-Backs are 16-14 and the Dodgers are 16-16.  The D-Backs and Dodgers are beating up teams outside the division, but ultimately it will come down to the Division head to head games that will separate if not decide the division.

ROAD WARRIORS: The Rockies are not a team that historically has had success on the road.  In fact the only time the Rockies have had a winning road record is in 2009 when they went 41-40.  The Rockies have currently won 21 or their first 31 on the road, and have yet to lose a series on the road.

Here is the compilation:

Milwaukee 3-1
San Francisco 3-1
Los Angeles 1-1
Arizona 2-1
San Diego 2-1
Minnesota 2-1
Cincinnati 2-1
Philadelphia 3-1
Seattle 1-1
San Diego 2-1

Giving them a total of 8-0-2 in Series Victories. Impressive Road start for sure.
  

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