Friday, September 29, 2017

The Long and Winding Road That Leads To Your Door

Baseball is a long season.  162 games played over 6 months is the longest season in American Pro Sports.  Baseball still has the shortest post season, as the entire playoffs will take place over 29 days in October and possibly November 1st.

Let's admit it--after the first 2.5 months, we didn't think it would come down to the last weekend for the last Wild Card position, if anything we were hoping for a chance to clinch the West Division.  But the past 3.5 months have told a different story.

Going into the weekend, FiveThirtyEight.com gives the Rockies a 94% chance to make the playoffs and Milwaukee only has 6% chance.  But remember 2007 where San Diego went into Milwaukee needing 3 wins and/or Rockies losses to get the Wild Card Spot with 3 games to play.  On Friday, the Padres won while the Rockies lost to the D-Backs ending the 11 game winning streak and putting the Magic Number of 1 which meant they would have to lose 3 in a row including a Tie Breaker game, while the Rockies would have to win all 3 (which meant the Rockies magic number was essentially 6.)

Everything broke the Rockies way in their improbable win to the 2007 World Series, so don't start the celebration yet.  The Rockies also have made the playoffs 3 times as a Wild Card entry and all three times they have clinched the Wild Card on October 1st.  Expect this to go down to Sunday.  In 2018 the season ends on September 30th, but we will deal with that later.

It should be a fun weekend, just like this has been a fun season.






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