Tuesday, September 29, 2009

How Many Ways to Make the Postseason?

With 6 days and 6 games left, there remain 3 ways the Rockies can possibly get into the Postseason. The easiest way is to win 5 of the six games and beat out the Braves for the Wild Card. However, if the banged-up Dodgers can find a way to lose the next two in San Diego, the Rockies can still win the West by winning all six games this week. The 3rd way the Rockies can get into the playoffs is also via the Wild Card route, but beating out the Phillies. The Rockies are in the same postion (2 games out) with the Phillies as the Braves are with the Rockies, so it's probably the least likely scenario. In order for the Braves to win the East, they would have to win all 6 games and the Phillies would have to lose at least 5 of 6. The best the Phillies could be and not win the East would be 91-61, which means the Rockies would only need to win 4 of their 6 to get to 92 and beat them out. Winning 4 of 6 would put the Rockies at a minimum of a tiebreaker game on Monday in Atlanta, and only one loss by the Braves would put them in, so it really doesn't matter.

The Rockies best play is to sweep the Brewers, which would keep pressure on the Braves. Depending on what LA does against the Padres, the final series in LA this weekend could become another playoff situation for the Rockies.

However, the most likely scenario is the Wild Card berth over the Braves.

Cubs, and Marlins, now need a miracle and the Giants are two losses away from being eliminated. The Marlins could really help the Rockies by taking one of the next two against the Braves.

The Rockies unlike the fans, just have to go out and not watch the scoreboard. And just like in 2007, keep on winning.

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